CENTREBET INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
Weekend tips - Discussion with Centrebet Media Chief and Political Analyst Neil Evans
Fri, 17 Oct 2008 01:30PM
Consensus Data
| Broker | EPS (A$) | Sales (A$) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 2010 | 2009 | 2010 | |
| ABN AMRO Morgans | 0.1 | 0.2 | 66.2 | 73.6 |
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Neil Evans
Fri, 17 Oct 2008
01:30PM Australia/NSW
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CENTREBET INTERNATIONAL LIMITED (CIL)
ASX code: CIL
Website: http://www.centrebet.com/
Industry: Consumer Services
Principal Activities:
Online wagering and gaming company.
Address:
, 110-116 Bourke Road, Level 1,
ALEXANDRIA
NSW
Phone: (02) 9206 8888
Fax: (02) 9310 5252
Executives & Directors
Mr Graham John Kelly , Non Exec. Chairman
Mr Con Peter Kafataris , Managing Director
Mr Maxwell , Max Christopher Donnelly
Mr George Peter Kafataris , Non Exec. Director
Mr Michael Victor McRitchie , Finance Director
Mr Malcolm Lucas-Smith , Company Secretary
Company Podcasts
Company ASX Announcements
Company ASX announcements can be viewed on the ASX website.
Announcements from the preceding six months are shown below.
Please refer to the relevant stock exchange if any of the above information is incorrect
CENTREBET INTERNATIONAL LIMITED (CIL) Events
Australia/NSW
CENTREBET INTERNATIONAL LIMITED (CIL)
| Fixed Odds Management Contract for TABs Commences | Mon, 1 Jun 2009 |
| Lapsing of unlisted performance rights | Thu, 28 May 2009 |
| Centrebet Market Update | Wed, 29 Apr 2009 |
| Centrebet Market Update Presentation | Wed, 29 Apr 2009 |
| SandP Announces March SP/ASX Index Rebalance | Fri, 6 Mar 2009 |
| IAS: Takeovers Panel Decision in Favour of IAS | Wed, 4 Mar 2009 |
| Centrebet will not proceed with IAS offer | Tue, 3 Mar 2009 |
| TOV: IAS 01R - Review Panel Decision | Tue, 3 Mar 2009 |
| Appendix 4D and Interim Financial Report | Tue, 24 Feb 2009 |
| Change of Record Date for Interim FY09 Dividend | Tue, 24 Feb 2009 |
Please note: This company appears on this website as a result of its listing on the Australian Securities Exchange. Boardroom Radio does not claim any association with any company listed on this site.
DISCUSSION WITH NEIL EVANS, MEDIA CHIEF AND POLITICAL ANALYST OF CENTREBET INTERNATIONAL LIMITED (CIL)
“Weekend Tips”
http://www.brr.com.au/event/52609
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 17, 2008, 2:30 PM.
BRR Hello and welcome to another Boardroom Radio Best Bet Segment. Now, we’re finished with the Rugby League, but we’ve got the Cricket, we’ve got
10 the Racing, and we’ve got the A-League. There are multiple opportunities to lose money and it’s very good great place to be joined by Neil Evans from Centrebet to show us how. Neil, welcome.
CIL Thank you very much, John, and we’ll do our best to try and win some of
15 course.
BRR Ah, mate, we had it. We had a great run towards the end of the season. We’re still way in front of backing Moatize so we’ve got some money to lose.
20 CIL Good.
BRR I hate horse racing with a passion but lots of people love it, but I do like those Caulfield Cup and Melbourne Cup doubles so you get amazing odds.
25 CIL Yes.
BRR What would you like us to be betting on this weekend?
CIL Well, of course, Caulfield Cup, the Group One featured Caulfield, and we
30 have got a stack of markets across all the Group One Racing so you can get on now. Caulfield Cup -- it’s very, very hard. What I think one here just, and this is very much at the each-way value, the horse called Zagreb, number 17…
35 BRR Zagreb, Z-A-G-R-E-B, number 17. Right?
CIL Yes, 17, Zagreb, it’s paying $17 fixed…
BRR Oh, it says $21 on your website, is it?
40
CIL Yes. It’s buying now a little bit, so even better value. So Zagreb, even better value than before, win fixed, $21 placed, fixed 6.
BRR Yes.
45
CIL Are you turning to place or you’re out to win?
BRR Each-way. Each-way.
CIL Win and Place, Win and Place. It’s a back market. It’ll get right back in time come right around the field. So it’ll be tough asking a race like this but, that’s a little each-way (inaudible) (0:01:21) for the Caulfield Cup.
5 BRR Okay, champ. Let’s lock that in.
CIL Yes.
BRR Okay, so…
10
CIL And one other separate one that the listeners should get on tomorrow, it’s in the Norman Robinson Stakes at Caulfield.
BRR Right.
15
CIL Which is race 4, over 2000 metres. They go down to number 4, Emperor Bonaparte.
BRR Emperor Bonaparte, race 4, number 4.
20
CIL Yes and it’s painful.
BRR It’s painful?
25 CIL All the four’s.
BRR Hang on. How much research are you putting into this? Have you selected a number and then try to make something fit into it?
30 CIL No, quite the contrary here. This is the horse I’ve been following for a while. It’s his first run in Melbourne. It’s down from the David Payne stable at Randwick. It’s probably needing to win this race to have a fair chance in the Victoria Derby in the fourth night. On target nicely. $4 is plenty, and if the listeners should take the handbrake off and steam into that one, race 4,
35 number 4 at Caulfield tomorrow.
BRR Okay, and we’ll put that on a double with Zagreb or…?
CIL No, just go separate.
40
BRR Okay, right.
CIL One off bet to win Emperor Bonaparte, and each-way definitely Zagreb in the Caulfield Cup.
45
BRR Okay. Fantastic. Now, Neil, what about some lovely Melbourne Cup/Caulfield Cup doubles or should I give you some warning about that? I mean…
CIL Yes, we might, we might. Given that there’s a lot that’s been going around tomorrow in the Caulfield Cup and obviously we might give it another week before we hit the doubles charts there for that one, but we’ll see what happens tomorrow.
5
BRR Yes.
CIL Turning our attention to sport. I’m back on sport.
10 BRR Yes, thank God. Yes.
CIL It makes it a little bit easier?
BRR Yes. Well, it is a little bit easier.
15
CIL Yes, it is. Only one horse can win the race. When there’s 20 of it, it makes it tough. But of course, the Cricket, the second test is starting after the tug-of-war draw and the first one at Bangalore in (inaudible) (0:03:02). Look, I don’t want to be a party pooper, but $2.30, the draw, what will we be taking? India’s
20 $3.10, Australia $3.25. You could make a case for both.
BRR Yes.
CIL But given that… they’re not exactly on speaking terms, these two teams, no
25 one wants to give anything away. You lose one match, you’re probably on your way to losing the series. So, $2.30 to draw as the first leg.
BRR Right, $2.30 to draw. Okay, we are going to lock that in.
30 CIL Lock that in.
BRR The TV network, that’s Fox Sports, they won’t like you talking like that anyway.
35 CIL Well, you got a caucus there. The money is more powerful than the ratings. So, we have to protect the wallet.
BRR Okay.
40 CIL Now we go to football which is the Premier League, so we go to football down to the United Kingdom.
BRR Yes, right.
45 CIL A full round of Premier League matches, you’ll see.
BRR Okay, we’ll look at United Kingdom. Yes, okay.
CIL Full round of Premier League matches there and there are all the prizes. We’ve picked out 2 E to put in the multi after the Cricket, the first one being Aston Villa at home.
5 BRR Okay, Aston Villa at home, paying $1.80.
CIL $1.80 to win. At Portsmouth.
BRR You don’t have to watch it though, do you? You could just bet on it and you’re
10 excused from watching it, aren’t you?
CIL Exactly.
BRR Thank God.
15
CIL But you’re probably more inclined to have a look if you got the money on, but…
BRR Yes, one, Neil. Fascinating.
20
CIL Yes. One (inaudible) (0:04:23), the $1.80 will hold up for both. You’ll see that. The Villas will win at home, that’s the second leg. The third leg, we go down to Liverpool, $1.37.
25 BRR $1.37 versus Wigan Athletic.
CIL Yes, at Anvil, so Liverpool should be winning and winning by space there. So the draw in the Villa into Liverpool…
30 BRR Yes. So, that’s paying $5.67.
CIL That’s our 3-legger.
BRR So, that’s our 3-legger.
35
CIL Yes, that’s our 3-legger this weekend.
BRR Fantastic. Okay. Well, at least we’ve got two horses to back on the weekend and we’re making $50 go a long way (inaudible) (0:04:55) test.
40
CIL Yes. Yes.
BRR So that’s value for money
45 CIL Yes. That’ll keep us in there, yes, and we’ll be able to crack the path of that one there. I’m very confident that can come in and it will be nice to get one up on the track because of Caulfield Cup, and we are betting on all… about 5 and all the group racing, I think six races is fixed starts for every race and you don’t know if that gets around, so plenty for the punters to look at.
BRR Fantastic, and Neil how has it been? Has there been any early money for any surprising horses? Have you seen any flaws that we should be aware of?
5 CIL Looking ahead, Septimus, the Irish invader, the Irish St. Leger winner that’s out here from the Aidan O’Brien stables, is by far and away the best bet horse to win the Melbourne cup.
BRR Right.
10
CIL Probably taken three times as much money as any other galloper in the Melbourne Cup.
BRR And is that money coming from overseas or is that local money?
15
CIL Both. A bit of both, mainly from here. Mainly from big punters from here. A little bit from overseas. The horse is settling well, still betting $7. That’s a good price. It’s top of the market price, and that is the real money horse at the moment. Obviously, there’s money around. The other good horse is Littorio
20 that’s running in the Caulfield Cup tomorrow. It’s doing well both in the Caulfield and looking ahead to the Melbourne Cup.
BRR Right.
25 CIL Tomorrow, Weekend Hussler and Littorio are dominating the betting at Caulfield Cup.
BRR Weekend Hussler was very disappointing from the last, not that I know much about racing, but, I mean, it was really supposed to storm home but came
30 nowhere.
CIL Well, it wasn’t a great ride. He sort of got pasted out a bit, but, yes, look it didn’t finish it off and it was pretty much sort of going up to 300 metres, but it’s sort of… it’ll go forward from the middle gate and it’ll give you a start. I
35 think it’s a real risk, getting over a mile and a half. I think it’s a reasonably strong Caulfield Cup field, and it’ll go forward. There’ll be horses around. I just doubt whether it’s strong enough over the last couple of furlongs to win, so I’ll be going around it, but plenty are on it. Plenty of serious and sentimental punters will give the Hussler another chance.
40
BRR And while we’ve got you here, I noticed in the British Parliament that they raised accusations of match-fixing in the English Premier League.
CIL Really?
45
BRR Have you heard anything about that?
CIL Not really. (Inaudible) (0:07:02) too much to be honest, which is very interesting. Of course, normally it’s the tennis scene where you start hearing about this in certain Russian tennis players.
5 BRR What are you implying there?
CIL Yes. I mean, (inaudible) (0:07:16) happened, but now it takes a lot to knock the punters off the perch.
10 BRR I think they’ll be very happy to fix all those matches. The players get paid so much money. I just can’t imagine that anyone is going to fix it.
CIL Normally, if there’s anything untoward in team sport, it’s an under/over line. That’s normally where they try and do it like a team total in Cricket. You might
15 bet under 280 rounds or over 280…
BRR Right.
CIL And they still wouldn’t go under that way, or it might be $2.5 line in the game
20 of football and they bet under or over because obviously the bet individually on performance is very hard to try and get that up and try to pull some shenanigans that way. So, that’s what you’re going to look out for, but English Premier League always is very popular. Very interesting, John, just definitely for the election punters…
25
BRR Yes. We always love election punters (inaudible) (0:08:00) coming up to November. What’s the US election date?
CIL November 4.
30
BRR November 4. That’s Melbourne Cup day.
CIL Yes.
35 BRR Fantastic. We’ll have something to watch on Melbourne Cup day.
CIL Very big good news. I think there’s an RBA interest rate announcement coming there as well.
40 BRR Oh, look at you, you’re like a financial markets analyst now.
CIL Barack Obama, $1.10.
BRR $1.10.
45
CIL All of the men of (inaudible) (0:08:25) super short…
BRR Look at that, John McCain is $7.
CIL …for Republican victory.
BRR Wow.
5 CIL Highly, highly unlikely. It is a very big number, but…
BRR Yes.
CIL ....the momentum is with…
10
BRR Two horse races. You don’t often see that, do you?
CIL Yes. So, it’s incredible over money. They just want to keep back even though it’s short. So with this election, to lose Barack Obama. But what is very
15 interesting in this crucial New South Wales State By-Elections tomorrow…
BRR Oh, you’ve got that on the…
CIL That’s what these are.
20
BRR … the ALP candidate, the Premier said she’s not going to win.
CIL Yes. Well, this is the real talking point, the seat of Ryde, of course, formally held by John Watkins. Now, we opened up, obviously it has been a Labour
25 stronghold, but it is a little bit of a bellwether seat as opposed to where the (inaudible) (0:09:07) in politics is. We opened the Liberal Party at $1.70.
BRR Yes.
30 CIL $1.70, a favourite.
BRR Yes.
CIL With Labour out at $2.10 and the LIBs are into $1.35.
35
BRR And what’s the swing required there?
CIL Look, it’s near 20%. This is the amazing thing. It’s a massive swing required, but Labour has been smashed in the polls. There’s a real, real mandate for
40 change, and look, the big punter is $1.70 into $1.35 in a By-Election, it’s really unheard of. And we’re talking about some pretty smart election punters. So, it looks like the kiss of death for Labour in Ryde.
BRR Yes. My God, I mean, that’s the seat they hold and has held for many years. I
45 mean that’s quite incredible.
CIL Yes.
BRR Do you think we should have a…? Are you tempted there, Neil? Should we…?
CIL Look, I think Liberal is probably a good thing judging by…
5
BRR A $1.35.
CIL $1.35.
10 BRR Even though they’re like a random makeup.
CIL Yes. I thought we were sort of $1.70, thinking well, maybe that’s short enough, maybe they should be closer to get at the start, but they just went smash straight off the bet.
15
BRR Yes.
CIL In they came, money is still coming in. There’s not one nickel through the door for ALP to retain the seats.
20
BRR Right, and what sort of punters do you get on, like a Ryde By-Election. I could imagine the bet people who are enthusiastic. I mentioned that the biggest punter (inaudible) (0:10:16) from the ABC knows everything about the elections. You obviously got to disclose who your punters are.
25
CIL Yes, I know. He does know a lot about elections. I’m not sure if he’s one of the Board. You get professional election punters and now take it from the smallest by-election up to the US Presidential.
30 BRR Right.
CIL They almost make it a job to calm election markets and you see a lot of them are the same. Even a lot of punters who did well out of the Federal election, getting on the Ryde bandwagon, they’re re-surfacing again. It’s a very topic
35 along profile seat in Ryde for by-election that would normally go pass without much of a whim, but with all the inflation in the state government, what can (inaudible) (0:10:55) seat, there’s a lot of interest in this one but it’s all liberal. The other interesting one is Port Macquarie…
40 BRR Yes, Port Macquarie by-election.
CIL Yes, the by-election where Rob Oakeshott has gone up to the Federal. Now, he’s given the tick of approval to his (inaudible) (0:11:09) Peter Besseling, the Independent.
45
BRR Yes.
CIL He’s $2.47.
BRR Yes.
CIL Leslie Williams for the National Party to re-claim that seat is a $1.50, and the early money is with her. So we’re sort of tipping that Port Macquarie will go
5 back into National hands…
BRR Right, even though the Independent’s been given the endorsement by the predecessor?
10 CIL Yes, that’s right. But $1.50-$2.47, it’s obviously a genuine sort of two-horse battle there, but we still have the Nationals on top and obviously (inaudible) (0:11:35) Labour are very, very short to retain those. But really in the seats, the real competitive by-election rights, Port Macquarie, it appears it’ll be a very, very good weekend to the coalition.
15
BRR Yes, and what about this, just while we’re on that, I mean the Labour Party paying $1.02 in (inaudible) (0:11:53)…
CIL (Inaudible) (0:11:55) all seat.
20
BRR (Inaudible) (0:11:57) all seat. You’re sure? You’re not tempted by the $12?
CIL No, no, not at all. I wouldn’t be tempted with $32. I wouldn’t be tempted.
25 BRR Okay.
CIL (Inaudible) (0:12:09) the same which is (inaudible) (0:12:10) seat, now it’s not right for her, I can promise you that.
30 BRR Yes.
CIL Or even probably the next in line, but that area, of course, around Fairfield Council area, very popular to Labour candidate. They’ll be trotting in there, but it will be different in those other two.
35
BRR Right, and we are not tempted to have any money on John McCain between now and the election, in case somebody stumbles and then you get Barack Obama or…
40 CIL It could happen, it could happen and we still get people that we talk to telling us that there’s still another twist and turn in this election.
BRR Yes.
45 CIL But it’s definitely Obama to win the key states like Ohio and those, and the money in those seats, not that I know a lot about it from state-to-state, it’s still pretty strong for the Democrats as well. So, it’s very much starting to line up for a change of party as far as the White House goes, and Obama really just has to keep the covers clean really from hereon in I think and he’ll be the next president.
BRR Fantastic. Neil Evans, always fantastic to talk to you. If punters want to get on
5 and take advantage of this great investment advice, what do you suggest they do?
CIL Yes. Centrebet.com. You can open an account, just go to the site and it’ll see you through when you open an account. There’s plenty of $200 free bet offers
10 really at the moment.
BRR Yes, looks like there are plenty of offers to encourage punters who don’t have a bet.
15 CIL So, they can get on board, open new account, and get up and running with $200, of course, in the heart of spring, there’s plenty of good things to look at.
BRR Neil Evans from Centrebet, thank you very much for your time.
20 CIL Yes, pleasure, John. We’ll do it again soon. Good on you.
DISCUSSION CONCLUDED
Contact brr@brr.com.au for more information
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