ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED Audio Webcast

Select a tab above to display more information

ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED (AFG)

ASX code: AFG
Website: http://www.allco.com.au
Industry: Diversified Financials

Principal Activities:
Allco Finance Group is a fully integrated global financial services business specialising in asset origination, funds creation and funds management in the core asset classes of aviation, shipping, rail, infrastructure, property and financial assets.

Address:
1 Macquarie Place, Gateway, Level 24
SYDNEY
NSW

Phone: (02) 9255 4100
Fax: (02) 8915 7803

Executives & Directors

Mr Robert C Mansfield, AO , Independent Director, Deputy Chairman, Non Exec. Director
Mr David Clarke , Director, Managing Director, CEO
Ms Christine Bowen , Director, Investor Relations
Sir Rod Eddington , Independent Director, Non Exec. Director
Mr Neil Raymond Lewis , Independent Director, Non Exec. Director
Mr Ray Fleming , CFO
Mr Tom Lennox , Company Secretary

Company Podcasts

Subscribe to current and future audio events for this company by clicking on the podcast icon:

Subscribe to Company Podcasts

Company ASX Announcements

Company ASX announcements can be viewed on the ASX website.
Announcements from the preceding six months are shown below.

Please refer to the relevant stock exchange if any of the above information is incorrect

ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED (AFG) Events

Company (Stock Code) Date/Time Event Timezone:
Icon_timezone Australia/NSW
Mr David Clarke Thu, 23 Oct 2008
05:30PM
AFG - Mr David Clarke (CEO) Listen to this event
Add ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED to your alerts More Diversified Financials events Podcast of events for ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED
Mr Bob Mansfield, Acting Chairman and Mr David Clarke, CEO Thu, 23 Oct 2008
05:15PM
AFG - 2008 Annual General Meeting - Mr Bob Mansfield, Acting Chairman and Mr David Clarke (CEO) Listen to this event
Add ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED to your alerts More Diversified Financials events Podcast of events for ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED
Mr David Clarke, CEO and Mr Ray Fleming, CFO Fri, 29 Aug 2008
11:00AM
AFG - 2008 Full Year Results Presentation (Analyst Briefing) - Mr David Clarke (CEO), and Mr Ray Fleming (CFO) Listen to this event
Add ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED to your alerts More Diversified Financials events Podcast of events for ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED
Mr Steen Stavnsbo Thu, 19 Jun 2008
09:00AM
AFG - Announces the Sale of the Tehachapi, US Wind Development Project - Mr Steen Stavnsbo, Head of Wind Energy Listen to this event
Add ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED to your alerts More Diversified Financials events Podcast of events for ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED
Mr David Clarke and Mr Tim Dodd Mon, 25 Feb 2008
11:00AM
AFG - FY07 Interim Results (Audio Only) - Mr David Clarke, CEO and Mr Tim Dodd, CFO Listen to this event
Add ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED to your alerts More Diversified Financials events Contact Mr David Clarke and Mr Tim Dodd Podcast of events for ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED
Mr David Clarke and Mr Tim Dodd Mon, 25 Feb 2008
11:00AM
AFG - FY07 Interim Results - Mr David Coe, Executive Chairman, Mr David Clarke, CEO and Mr Tim Dodd, CFO View external link
Add ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED to your alerts More Diversified Financials events Contact Mr David Clarke and Mr Tim Dodd Podcast of events for ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED
Mr Bob Mansfield Wed, 12 Dec 2007
05:25PM
AFG - December 2007 EGM - Mr Bob Mansfield, Deputy Chairman and Mr David Clarke, MD Listen to this event
Add ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED to your alerts More Diversified Financials events Contact Mr Bob Mansfield Podcast of events for ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED
Mr David Clarke and Mr Tim Dodd Tue, 30 Oct 2007
04:30PM
AFG - 2007 Annual General Meeting - Mr David Coe, Executive Chairman and Mr David Clarke, MD and CEO, Mr Bob Mansfield, Deputy Chairman View external link
Add ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED to your alerts More Diversified Financials events Contact Mr David Clarke and Mr Tim Dodd Podcast of events for ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED
Mr David Clarke Thu, 25 Oct 2007
04:20PM
AFG - 2007 Annual General Meeting - Mr David Coe, Executive Chairman and Mr David Clarke, MD and CEO View external link
Add ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED to your alerts More Diversified Financials events Contact Mr David Clarke Podcast of events for ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED
Mr David Clarke Tue, 23 Oct 2007
03:50PM
AFG - Expansion of Real Estate Business - Mr David Clarke, MD and CEO of Allco and Dr Gordon Fell, Chairman and MD of Rubicon View external link
Add ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED to your alerts More Diversified Financials events Contact Mr David Clarke Podcast of events for ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED
Thu, 23 Oct 2008
10:00AM
Annual General Meeting
Ballroom, Four Season Hotel, Sydney, NSW
Fri, 29 Aug 2008 Full Year Results
Thu, 20 Mar 2008 Date Payable
Thu, 6 Mar 2008 Record Date
Fri, 29 Feb 2008 Ex Div Date
Mon, 25 Feb 2008 Interim Results
Wed, 12 Dec 2007 EGM
Thu, 25 Oct 2007
10:00AM
Annual General Meeting
ASX Auditorium, 20 Bridge Street, Sydney NSW 2000
Fri, 21 Sep 2007 Date Payable
Fri, 7 Sep 2007 Record Date
Mon, 3 Sep 2007 Ex Div Date
Tue, 21 Aug 2007 Full Year Results
Wed, 21 Mar 2007 Date Payable
Wed, 7 Mar 2007 Record Date
Thu, 1 Mar 2007 Ex Div Date
Thu, 15 Feb 2007 Interim Results
Wed, 25 Oct 2006
10:00AM
Annual General Meeting
ASX Auditorium, 18 Bridge Street Sydney NSW 2000
Wed, 13 Sep 2006 Date Payable
Mon, 28 Aug 2006 Full Year Results
Fri, 30 Jun 2006 Record Date
Icon_nextIcon_last Displaying 1-20 of 31 events

ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED (AFG)

AHU: Revised Agreement for the Sale of Alleasing Pty Ltd Thu, 4 Dec 2008
RRT: Update on the Manager and RE Functions Thu, 27 Nov 2008
AEP: Update Fri, 21 Nov 2008
AFGHA Notice of Trigger Event Mon, 17 Nov 2008
NAB: NAB exposure to Rubicon Holdings Fri, 7 Nov 2008
REU: Rubicon Europe Trust - Update Fri, 7 Nov 2008
RJT: Rubicon Japan Trust - Update Fri, 7 Nov 2008
RAT: Rubicon America Trust - update Fri, 7 Nov 2008
CBA Announcement re Allco Finance Group Limited Thu, 6 Nov 2008
ANZ: ANZ exposure to ABC Learning Centres Group Thu, 6 Nov 2008

Please note: This company appears on this website as a result of its listing on the Australian Securities Exchange. Boardroom Radio does not claim any association with any company listed on this site.

PRESENTATION BY DAVID CLARKE, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER, AND RAY FLEMING, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER OF ALLCO FINANCE GROUP LIMITED (AFG)

“Full Year Results”

http://www.brr.com.au/event/49326

 

FRIDAY, AUGUST 29, 2008, 11:00 AM.

 

      Moderator  Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. Today, we have two speakers taking you through the presentation, which was launched with the

10                    ASX this morning, David Clarke, who is Allco’s Chief Executive Officer and Ray Fleming, who has recently been appointed as our Chief Financial Officer. Also with us today are a number of the leadership teams here in the room. And David and Ray will present the presentation and we will take questions at the end of the presentation. So, David, over to you. Thank you.

15

            AFG     Thanks, Christine. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. As we foreshadowed back in our announcement on the 1st of May, we are today announcing a very significant loss for the Allco Finance Group. When I joined a little over a year ago, I and my colleagues would not have believed that we

20                    would be talking about a year of such change and the consequences thereof. So when we reported to you back in February, our half-year results, it was clear that the company was in a difficult position and it was also clear that we needed to take action. And I just want to very quickly summarize the action we’ve taken and what we need to do in the future. So we finalized our senior

25                    balance sheet bank facility. We’ve sold over a $0.5 billion worth of assets and we’ve reduced our debt from $1 billion to $700 million of senior debt. The next steps, as we look ahead, continued asset sales to reduce debt, restructuring the business to match our new strategy, which I’ll spend a considerable time on today. And we need to raise investment capital for our new funds. We

30                    obviously deeply regret the loss of shareholder value and our focus is now to implement a recovery plan as quickly as possible to seek to put value back into our company. If you look at the agenda slide, which is Slide 2, it gives you the order of our presentation. As Christine said, Ray Fleming, our new CFO and I, are going to present for about 25 to 30 minutes and then we’ll

35                    have some questions. There is significant detail in the appendices and that detail has been put there to help guide you through the movements that have occurred and changes in what’s happened in the company. Let me say at the outset that we are not giving any performance guidance in respect to this financial year or any future year. So with that if I can just turn to 2008 in

40                    review, which is the third slide, so until January 2008, we were focused on our stated growth strategy, making financial commitments to acquire assets, building our funds on the management and growing the organization very aggressively. Investors had indicated their commitment to invest in our new funds. Our bankers and at an asset level were supportive. And then we’ll

45                    show the difficulty in debt markets and the volatility in equity markets -- a downturn began in asset markets and that all significantly impacted our operations, our financial position, and our outlook. That of course was coupled with a significant loss of confidence in Allco as well as the margin lines against the stock. We had continued short selling and resulting in a very dramatic fall on our share price. And as I said, loss of confidence, which of course, you will know is fundamental when you’re running a financial services organization. That triggered the market capitalization clause and enabled the banks to review the senior facilities. There was no breach and there never

5                      has been a re-breach and there has been no default and there’s never been a late interest payment.  Rather naively at the beginning of that process thought that it might take a couple of weeks to sort out. That if you’d told me it was going to take eight months, I wouldn’t have believed you. You’ve got that completely wrong and it’s been eight very, very long months. And during that

10                    period of time, our ability to generate new business, of course, has declined very significantly. When we look at our model it was very vulnerable. When the crisis hit, we were in a transition from a balance sheet aggregator of assets and warehouse of our assets into a fund manager. We were too reliant on access to debt and equity markets, which of course, became inaccessible

15                    to us and too reliant on the continued growth in asset values. We were over reliant on one-off non-recurring income items and there was too much leverage. If I can just take you back, I mean, we did in the latter part of last calendar year think about all of this, sought advice from various quarters, looked at what might be the consequences of what was a debt stage

20                    unfolding in the American -- frankly a very small part of the American mortgage market and concluded that that was unlikely to close capital markets around the world and create a liquidity crisis. We thought that debt might get a little bit more expensive, but we felt that we still had access to it to pursue our strategic ambitions, but that clearly was a miss-assessment of the

25                    consequences of what we all now very plainly see. If I could to turn page -- Slide 4 and how we’ve responded to this, as a consequence of what’s happened, is now a very radical change to our business model and we’ve now had to focus on our core competencies in Aviation, Shipping, and Private Equity. We’re going to exit all our other businesses and non-core assets. As

30                    you are probably aware, we’ve exited our capital-intensive infrastructure business. We’re seeking to get out of our financial asset business, but what I’m saying for the first time today is that we’re going to be managing our rail and real estate portfolios for value and looking for appropriate exit opportunities out of those businesses, and that is a change from what we’ve

35                    been doing in the past. We’ve got to -- as we’ve assessed where we are, we believe we need to move out of those businesses. Importantly also, we will no longer be using the balance sheet as a principal investor. We have, of course, some ongoing commitments that we will meet from our balance sheet resources in terms of some planes and some ships coming out of the

40                    shipyards, but beyond that we will not be using the balance sheet; instead we’re going to transition to become a fiduciary fund manager. We’re going to be moving to become a much more simple business, and we’ve already commenced that through reducing vast amounts of complexity through the exit of some of those non-core businesses. And while a lot of work has been

45                    done, a lot remains to be done. We’ve done a variety of things. We’ve clearly changed the Board composition, so there are now three non-executive directors along with myself. We’ve renegotiated the senior debt facility through to September -- mature in September ’09, and we’ve sold in excess of $500 million worth of assets, and reduced our senior debt facility to just over $700 million. And also as a consequence of this restructuring, we’ve shrunk our global footprint quite significantly. So in January of this year we had 620 employees, at 30 June, we had 480. As we sit here today, we have 370 and by the conclusion of this financial year, we would have 240. We

5                      believe that as we move through our legacy issues and end up with our -- what we are calling now our core business of Aviation, Shipping and Private Equity, we will have an employee complement split between London and Sydney of something like 150 odd people. So you can see a very significant change to the employment numbers. If I move to Slide 5 and just talk about

10                    the focus in the year ahead, the leadership team is committed to rebuilding value. It’s very clear what need to be done in the next 10 months. We need to retain our investment professionals in Aviation, Shipping, and Private Equity. So secondly, we need to sell assets and repay the debt. We’ve got to launch two funds and we’re just on the cusp of doing that and successfully raise

15                    institutional funds into those two -- the Shipping and Aviation funds. We’ve got to manage our cash flow on operations extremely tightly. If I switch to -- flip to Page 6 -- Slide 6, it’s -- importantly -- you should clearly note that 2009 is dependent on delivering our business plan, that is those assets sales, raising of capital, and the reducing of costs. On the latter point of costs, the

20                    cost -- total costs, non-interest costs in 2007 were $330 million. We are budgeting for those to be $165 million through 2009 and then drop further as in the years ahead. And I’ve already taken you through it, and of course, employees, the most significant contributor to those costs. In order to keep our key professionals in the business, we’re going to be asking our

25                    shareholders in our October annual general meeting to approve and issue of $69 million options, which is approximately 18% of the share capital of the company that’s -- $49 million of those options in respect of the ’09 year and $20 million in reserve to award if appropriate in the 2010 year. They will be out of our existing, they will be subject to the terms and conditions of our

30                    existing executive rights and options plan, so that’s three-year cliff vesting, a traditional total shareholder return hurdle and a market-based strike price sit on (inaudible) (0:11:29) basis before the annual general meeting. Keeping the people in this business gives us the opportunity to build value back to and the options align us with the shareholders, and importantly we’re seizing that

35                    proprietary balance sheet investment business and becoming a true fiduciary fund manager. On Slide 7, it summarizes much of what I’ve already said. We’re going to be a much smaller, much more focused institutional manager. The complexity and the ubiquitous use of debt are things of the past, and our balance sheet will slowly wind down. We’ve got good assets on it in terms of

40                    ships and planes producing good returns for us. So it will be a measured process over a considerable period of time that we move those off. We have skills, which are in demand. The pension funds are looking at ships and aviation, a combination of asset skills and financing skills that we do. Private Equity players are approaching us to see if they can get access to building

45                    some our expertise to build funds for them. And so -- but all of this has to be done at the same time of dealing with legacy issues of which we’ll be happy to talk about perhaps in the question time. I’ll now hand over to Ray Fleming, who is, as I said earlier our new CFO to take you through the detail of the results. Over to you, Ray.

 

            AFG     Thank you, David. As David just highlighted, we’ve spent the last six months focusing on three main objectives: selling down non-core assets to pay down corporate debt, restructuring the business, and critically reviewing the value

5                      of all our investments to reflect both the change in global markets and our revised business plan. As a result, we are reporting to you today a net loss of $1.7 billion. The Appendix to this presentation provides significant detail in relation to this loss. However, I’d like to draw your attention to a number of specific matters. In terms of reviewing the value of our investments, there are

10                    non-cash charges of $1.7 billion. These charges include an impairment to goodwill of $885 million. This reflects the write-off of goodwill in all the non-core businesses. The remaining goodwill of $369 million relates to Aviation and Shipping reflecting our belief in the ongoing value in those businesses. We’ve also written down intangible management rights by $102 million. In

15                    assessing the value of management rights, we have taken into account a number of factors, including the financial position of the respective funds, the current operating environment whereby these funds have engaged in asset disposal programs to reduce debt and meet debt covenants and repayment schedules, and future growth prospects. The majority of this impairment

20                    relates to the management rights of the Rubicon funds. Allco hit and record realty. In addition, we have reviewed the value of our investments and have impaired a number of loans. In particular the Mobius program loans have been impaired by $0 million. Further details of impairments are provided on Slides 20 and 21. There have been a number of asset sales to pay down

25                    debt, including this was a gain on the sale of Tehachapi, US wind development of $110 million. While there has been a significant overall loss for the 12 months ended 30 June 2008, I would like to highlight that after adjusting for the abnormal impacts of the past six months, there was a normalized profit after-tax of $29 million for the 2007 and 2008 financial year.

30                    Net assets at June were $545 million, falling from $2.2 billion at 31 December 2007, driven by the asset write-downs and asset sales as previously discussed. As David has already noted, there will be no final dividend paid for the 2008 financial year. The next two slides examine the components of this loss in more detail, which I’ll leave you to review in your own time. Let us now

35                    turn to Slide 11. As I mentioned previously, the net assets in the business have decreased to $545 million. After adjusting for intangible assets, minority interest and deferred tax losses, net tangible assets are $21 million. However, I would like to draw your attention to two items not included within this $21 million. Firstly, net tangible assets exclude the embedded value of our core

40                    businesses. External market valuations of our Aviation and Shipping business showed that there is a potential embedded value uplift of $232 million. Secondly, we account for our funds based on their share of the net tangible assets of their investments. Relevantly, we are carrying our investment in Allco equity partners at a significant premium to its listed market value. This

45                    reflects our view of Allco equity partners as a long-term investment that has a portfolio of good quality assets and that the carrying value at net tangible assets is affordable. Turning now to Slide 12, as announced to the ASX on 21 August this year, the total costs incurred by all Allco to restructure its senior debt facilities are approximately $28.1 million. These costs cover fees for financial advisers of $6.2 million, our senior banks of $16.7 million, including $7 million which is payable on maturity of the new loan, and lawyers for both the banks and Allco of $5.2 million. I’m pleased to advise that the condition is precedent to the senior debt facility have now been satisfied; otherwise, I’ll

5                      refer you to Slides 26 and 27, which provide further detail in relation to Limited Recourse Debt. Back to you, David.

 

            AFG     Thanks, Ray. If I could take you to Slide 13, future business model. A simple business, we’re going to remove the complexity inherent in the legacy

10                    businesses and have a very simple business going forward. We operate that business in our core competencies and the areas where we have deep expertise and proven competitive advantage and a proven track record of strong investment performance, and the key personnel are committed to rebuilding this business and shareholder value, and they are experts in their

15                    field with a significant number of reviews of relevant experience in the Ships and Aviation area in particular, as well as the Private Equity. If I take you to Page 14, I just want to talk a little about why we’ve picked these particular divisions to pursue our forward-looking business strategy around. Assets that we invest in complement investment portfolios, which are comprised of

20                    traditional equity and fixed incomes, and other alternative investment portfolios as well like hedge funds, real estate, and infrastructure. Adding transport of -- or private equity assets to a broader portfolio can clearly improve performance and they’re very attractive to risk-adjusted returns associated with these portfolios. We have done very, very well, if I refer you

25                    to the slide and you look there at the IRRs that we have generated out of these portfolios over the last five -- in one case, five years and the other case, six years -- that’s attractive. Institutions are interested. Now, I have to make the clear point that we would expect to be raising the money almost exclusively in the northern hemisphere and because that is where the interest

30                    is. It’s out of Europe, the Middle East, America, or in Asia. So perhaps, it will come as no surprise to you that there is not a lot of apparent interest in Australia. We did get interest back through the latter part of last calendar year, but that was withdrawn in late January or early February when our share price slid and there was much speculation about us. But nevertheless,

35                    those parties did make the intellectual decision that these were the asset classes that they were interested in putting into their portfolio. What I draw your attention to is -- let’s just talk a little bit about the Aviation fleet and these are the assets that are currently the bulk of which sit on our balance sheet, although there are some Aviation assets in one existing small fund. We’ve got

40                    a young fleet of aircraft -- that’s very important in these times. There is great geographic diversity around the world. I note that we do not have any US carriers as lessees of aircraft and why the fleet age is important its because the majority of our fleet are fuel-efficient aircraft, and those are the aircraft, they are going to be sort and used during this period. Every single aircraft is

45                    on a lease. There is nothing that is not in use at the moment and that is the nature of our business, we do not take naked aircraft risk. If I look at the Shipping fleet, asset allocation and sector calls in that business have been very good. There are many subsectors in that business and getting it right is very, very important. So the asset allocation and sector selection as I say, have been very good in particular. And I’ve mentioned this before in these conference calls, are overweighting and to the offshore supply vessels -- offshore oil rig supply vessels is really paying dividends, so we’ve got a very significant fleet, probably the largest and most modern -- perhaps not the

5                      largest but at least the most modern in the world there and those vessels are in very, very hot demand. And so we’re putting those on long-term charters and taking advantage of a construction price that we set sometime ago and getting the benefits of increasing charter rates as many of those come out of the shipyards and go into work. In Private Equity, you would have seen the

10                    Allco equity partners’ result earlier this week and a good sound result with the companies within their portfolio are performing well. If I take you to Page 15 and no presentation would be complete without a risks slide, so it’s important that we -- I’m sure you can all see the risks in our business, but it’s important that we at least summarize them here for everyone. As I’ve said at the outset,

15                    this is a fragile business. There are significant numbers of actions we need to get right. We need flawless execution at speed -- that’s what’s required. And there are three, again, crucial things to achieve:  asset sales, fund raising, and the retention of our key employees. Those are absolutely mission-critical to building value back into this business. If I take you to the final slide on

20                    Page 16, we’re in a tough position. The leadership team is committed, as I said, to building value back into the company. We’ve got a tightly focused business going forward. We’ve got very experienced teams and recognized competencies in Shipping and Aviation, and Private Equity. But we have been and we continue to have to do with the legacy issues at speed and get good

25                    results. So far that’s exactly what we’ve done. We’ve addressed the issues head-on. We’ve got good results from the sale of assets, but there are still legacy issues wrapped up in this business. It’s going to take us a good 12 months, possibly longer, to get through a number of them. And as I said, the future depends on those three things:  selling assets to pay debt, getting

30                    costs down quickly, and raising investment funds. So thank you for your patience, and now we’re very happy to throw it up into questions.

 

      Moderator  Thank you, David. Thank you, Ray. As David mentioned, if you’d like to ask a question, please do so now.

35

      Operator    Thank you. The question and answer session will now begin. Just a reminder, the question and answer session has now begun. Our first question is from John Hegarty of ABN AMRO. Please go ahead, John.

 

40        Q         Thanks. Good morning. Yeah, just want to ask a couple of questions really. Firstly on the NTA, could you give a bit more detail on exactly how NTA has fallen from $829 million to just $21 million in six months? I understand that you sort of ignored some of the write-downs on net tangibles.

 

45        AFG     Sure. John -- Ray, would you like to just go through that?

 

            AFG     Yes, sorry. And I guess I’m (inaudible) (0:26:56) really June to June, but as I say the impairment of goodwill was $895 million and that has been across all the groups. So that’s within the funds management activities within Rubicon infrastructure.

 

            Q         But the NTA should ignore the goodwill.

5

            AFG     Sorry, apologies.

 

            AFG     So what we’ve seen is -- we’ve seen significant write-downs in the real estate portfolio and the financial assets portfolio during that period. Infrastructure,

10                    there has been a reduction in the assets there, but the two big ones, our financial assets, so that’s in our Mobius and Gateway program, and in real estate, there has been the -- I think going back there was record investments loan to Rubicon of $150 million and that has -- at least half of that was supporting investments into the Rubicon Trust and that -- those funds have

15                    been lost. So that, John, I think is where the principal amounts -- the whole series of smaller ones, that’ll be in the appendices, but those are the two big ones.

 

            Q         Thanks. Okay, and then the second question, the decision to exit from the

20                    real estate business, looking back in it, would you accept that the acquisition of Rubicon was a mistake?

 

            AFG     Yes, it was. Yes. Now, that’s clear. That’s clear we -- that was a mistake.

 

25        Q         Okay. I have other questions, but I’ll leave it to other people. Thanks.

 

            AFG     Okay.

 

      Operator    Thank you. The next question is from Mike Younger of Citigroup. Please go

30                    ahead, Mike.

 

            Q         Thank you. You’ve certainly, with regard to NTA, certainly deferred taxes, assets that are free of charge of the stated NTA. Can you talk through on what kind of operation needs to be continued in order to take advantage of

35                    those carried tax losses?

 

            AFG     Yes, Mike. That is -- those tax losses need Australian operations to be profitable and contribute over the next five years. So that’s how those taxes -- I mean, there’s clearly much -- there’s a much higher number of tax losses

40                    available to the company but only that proportion that’s been brought forward and put on the balance sheet. So it relates to Australian operations.

 

            Q         And so it just includes the adjusted NTA of $21 million excludes those tax assets; you’re essentially suggesting it’s unlikely that you’re going to go with

45                    the recruitment?

 

            AFG     No, that would be a misinterpretation of my remarks. I mean, the auditors and the Board has gone through very carefully the carrying of the deferred tax asset and goes through a process of ensuring that to the best of their judgment, those are tax assets that will be used over the next five years. Really, the (inaudible) (0:30:23) of the $21 million number was to make it quite clear in this age of transparency and disclosure exactly what the position was. It’s not to suggest the deferred taxes it is not valuable.

5

            Q         Okay. My second question relates to key debt covenant over the new senior debt facility, you want to elaborate on those?

 

            AFG     I guess I could, I mean, there’s no market capitalization clause, there is no

10                    financial gearing ratio clauses except that they are in it and they relate to whether we drop. The margin drops from 3.5 to 2.75, and this change of control provision set -- all the rest is pretty standard.

 

            Q         All right. Interest coverage, is that what it means?

15

            AFG     Nothing like that, nothing like that. The key one -- the key thing is there’s an amortization of debt schedule in there and that’s the absolute main one and that says that through the period from now until the 30th of June 2009, there are certain debt repayment dates, where we must reduce debt and at the end

20                    of it, the debt has got to be $400 million. As I say, it’s $700 million today.

 

            Q         Okay. And my final question at the moment, just on that need to write third-party capital, clearly the reputation of the company is very significantly impacted by what happened.

25

            AFG     Yes.

 

            Q         I understand why the market would be quite concerned that you need to do that in order to continue on with business. So what’s sort of reassurance can

30                    you give us that you can actually can close on those transactions?

 

            AFG     What we’ve got -- we’ve got our private placement documents and memoranda ready to go into the markets now and we commenced at the -- in September at the beginning -- second week of September, a marketing

35                    program in the northern hemisphere. We’re getting -- we’ve seen a selected group of institutions so far and getting some reasonable responses. I mean, there are no commitment, but we’re getting interest around this sector and some of the larger funds have been doing work on the -- both Aviation and Shipping. I think we would suggest that there’s a bit more interest at this

40                    stage in Shipping than there is in Aviation. So I can’t give you a cost on assurance that there will be funds drawn, but funds flowing into those funds but we’re encouraged by the meetings that we’re taking.

 

            Q         And so this was to prove that this is going to take a lot longer than I anticipate

45                    and a lot longer than you need in order to repay your debt according to the facility. Would you be able to sell those assets to third parties?

 

            AFG     Yes. You mean the -- you’re talking about the ships and planes that are on the balance sheet?

 

            Q         Yes.

 

            AFG     I think we’d probably, we’ll be selling those anyway. I mean the feedback from

5                      the institutions that we’re talking to is they would have a preference for new assets that are going into funds rather than ones that have come from the balance sheet. And so I think, there’s a real question mark over the model of taking assets from a proprietary owner off their balance sheet into a fund, and so the institutions are saying, well, we would -- and there were some selected

10                    cases where they’ll take those, but I think we will probably over time manage that portfolio for value, which means that we’ll hold it. I mean, the returns -- there are good returns coming off at the moment. Well in excess of the cost of debt and we will, over time, pick our opportunities I think to sell to -- just sell into the market. Obviously, any investors in their funds, clearly if they want

15                    those assets, we’re more than happy to move them into the funds, but it’s really up to investors.

 

      Operator    Thank you. The next question is from Mark Carew of Macquarie. Please go ahead, Mark.

20

            Q         Good morning.

 

            AFG     Good morning, Mark.

 

25        Q         It is just the impression I’m getting. The business still appeared to be mostly (inaudible) (0:35:26), I was wondering if you could give a few examples of deals you’ve done in the last few months?

 

            AFG     Sure. Sure, Mark, look -- the business is -- when you have -- I mean, the

30                    important point is that the second half of this financial year has been very difficult. If you don’t have a long-term -- if you don’t have your balance sheet debt position sorted out, it’s not that easy to run this sort of business. But we still have done -- we’ve still completed on a number of ship purchases. I think it’s about four -- three purchases on ships. During this half, we’ve taken

35                    delivery of something like 12, 13 planes. Now, those were ones in the pipeline and really we have been waiting to get, as I said, the bank facilities sorted out before we actually know our resources and our constraints and to get back into the marketplace.

 

40        Q         That really is -- the pipeline is running down rather than meeting the new company?

 

            AFG     I think that’s -- we’re keeping in touch with clients and lessees, but yes, there hasn’t been any -- there has been one or two, but no real significant new

45                    transactions mandated or agreed during this period.

 

            Q         Second question, can you explain how you’re going to fund your way going forward?  What would change from previously to now to give you credit constrain (inaudible) (0:37:05)?

 

            AFG     Well we have cash flow plan agreed with the banks, and so they have seen our business plan. They’ve interrogated it extraordinarily thoroughly, and in that, we’ve got the capability to provide the equity component for the

5                      commitments that we have. So that’s been agreed. The asset lenders are still lending on the basis of the assets that we’ve got, and the ships and the planes, so that’s happening. So that’s for pipeline. If I talk about the business, our new business that we might seek to write from today onwards, that’s going to have to be -- that can only be written if we’ve raised equity into funds

10                    that we’re going to manage. Now, we will co-invest alongside those investors as a sign of alignment, but that’s where the equity is coming from in the future.

 

            Q         Sure. And just final question in terms of some of the (inaudible) (0:38:17) we

15                    used to hedge the interest rates and the currency, if we had to find out an investor or banking counter-party to do the transaction, is (inaudible) (0:38:29) still able do those types of derivative transactions at the moment or not?

 

20        AFG     It’s part of the wrap-up of the financing associated with that as part of the whole non-recourse asset financing package associated with either the ships. I mean, we’ve -- more recently we’ve got examples of doing that in the Shipping portfolio, that’s been a little while since we’ve done that in the Aviation portfolio. So I just -- I can’t answer your question in respect of

25                    Aviation, but our ships that we’ve purchased have -- they’re all hedged.

 

            Q         Okay, thanks. Those are probably all the questions there.

 

            AFG     Okay, thank you.

30

      Operator    Thank you. The next question is from Mark Fichera of Cranport. Please go ahead, Mark.

 

            Q         Yes. Hi, David, just a question on the normalized asset in the second half

35                    outside of the increase in the financing costs, what were the major drivers there? And then, second part of the question, on your operated cash flows (inaudible) (0:39:40) rental and charter income declines, if you can shed a bit more light on that. Thanks.

 

40        AFG     Thanks, Mark. I’ll just talk about the normalization. Ray, would you like to just touch on the rental and charter income?

 

            AFG     Go on.

 

45        AFG     But let me talk about the costs. We had a momentum to our expense base going into this half, so we were rapidly building up resources, people and assets leading into this half. So we had a momentum associated with our costs going into this half year. So that’s -- so I’m talking about the normalized result now, and as the debt lifted that was associated with the purchasing and ramp up of assets, so the average debt cost has flowed through into this half as well as have the people, our costs, so that’s an operational expenditure as well. So it’s interesting in -- well, I mean, you can see if you go back and look at it month by month, you can see costs and debt rising quickly through the

5     &nbs